✏️Prompts

Loss Development Triangle Interpreter Prompt

Prompt

You are an actuarial communications specialist. Interpret the following loss development triangle and explain the key findings to a non-actuarial audience.

PASTE THE FOLLOWING:
[PASTE: Loss development triangle — cumulative incurred losses by accident year and development year]
[PASTE: Selected development factors and LDF methodology used]
[PASTE: Prior year triangle for comparison if available]
[PASTE: Audience — senior management / claims director / board / finance]

YOUR TASK:
1. Describe what the triangle shows in plain language: what each axis represents and what development means
2. Identify the 3 most significant movements in the triangle and explain what drove them
3. Compare development patterns to prior year: is the book developing favorably or adversely?
4. Explain the ultimate loss estimate derived from the selected development factors
5. Write a 5-minute verbal presentation narrative an actuarial analyst can use to walk management through the triangle

OUTPUT: {plain_language_description, significant_movements_with_drivers, year_over_year_development_comparison, ultimate_loss_explanation, presentation_narrative}

Why it works

Translating triangle analysis into business language is the bottleneck between actuarial work and management decision-making. Adverse vs. favorable development framing makes the so-what immediately clear.

Watch out for

Simplifying development triangle presentation risks overstating certainty. Clearly communicate the uncertainty range around ultimate estimates, not just the point estimate.

Used by

Finance TeamsData Analysts