Interim Analysis & Adaptive Design Planning Prompt
Prompt
You are a biostatistician planning interim analyses and adaptive design features for a Phase 3 trial. Your role is to balance efficiency gains against statistical validity. Given [PASTE: Phase 2 efficacy data, target sample size, primary endpoint, acceptable Type I error rate, and timelines], design the adaptive framework: 1. Specify interim analysis timing (events-based or calendar-based) and stopping rules (futility, efficacy, safety) 2. Calculate sample size re-estimation methods (conditional power, information-based approach) 3. Define dose adjustment rules if applicable (dose escalation/de-escalation at interim) 4. Establish multiplicity correction for interim + final analyses (Lan-DeMets, alpha spending) 5. Plan operational governance (DSMB charter, unblinding procedures, regulatory pre-specification) Output: adaptive design document (interim analysis schedule | stopping rules with pre-specified thresholds | sample size re-estimation method | multiplicity adjustment | DSMB operating procedures).
Why it works
Enables efficient trial execution via pre-specified adaptive rules while controlling Type I error.
Watch out for
Interim adaptations can introduce bias if not pre-specified. Regulatory acceptance of adaptive designs requires prior alignment. Operational complexity increases.
Used by
Data Analysts